Stay in control as budgets change.

The More Things Change, the More Things Stay the Same: A Comparative Analysis of Budget Punctuations

In this paper, I identify whether shifts within budgets occur and investigate the variation of these shifts. Building on stochastic process methods, I find that budgets in all four cases exhibit mostly incremental changes punctuated by extreme shifts. In order to explain these punctuations in budget distributions, I rely on two models: partisan control of government and partisan distance of the...

Forming the Territorial Communities' Local Budgets in Ukraine Under Decentralization: Current Condition and Management Tasks

The budgetary capacity with the tax component as its key aspect is the basis for forming local budgets of a territorial community. The paper outlines the methods for diagnostics of the budgetary capacity of territorial communities by revenues aimed at providing a comprehensive quantitative and qualitative assessment of the status, strengths, and weaknesses of the economy of an administrative-te...

Long-term effects of climate change on carbon budgets of forests in Europe Long-term effects of climate change on carbon budgets of forests in Europe Long-term effects of climate change on carbon budgets of forests in Europe

The potential for behavioral thermoregulation to buffer "cold-blooded" animals against climate warming.

Increasing concern about the impacts of global warming on biodiversity has stimulated extensive discussion, but methods to translate broad-scale shifts in climate into direct impacts on living animals remain simplistic. A key missing element from models of climatic change impacts on animals is the buffering influence of behavioral thermoregulation. Here, we show how behavioral and mass/energy b...

Conditional phase-type distributions for modelling patient length of stay in hospital

The proportion of elderly in the population is continuing to increase, placing additional demands on highly competitive medical budgets. The management of the care of the elderly within hospitals can be assisted by the accurate modelling of the length of stay of patients in hospital. This paper uses conditional phase-type distributions for modelling the length of stay of a group of elderly pati...